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Market
Public confrontation between Denmark and U.S. over Greenland security by June 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from Danish or U.S. government officials reported by major news outlets
Story
Denmark Discusses Greenland Security and U.S. Military Presence Amid Trump's Acquisition Threats
Jan 11, 2025, 01:16 PM
Denmark has sent private messages to the team of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, expressing a willingness to discuss enhancing security measures in Greenland or increasing the U.S. military presence on the island. This move comes in response to Trump's repeated statements about wanting to acquire Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of Denmark, for national security purposes, including not ruling out the use of military force. The Danish government aims to address Trump's security concerns without ceding control of the island. The discussions are part of an effort to avoid a public confrontation with the incoming U.S. administration, as Trump is set to take office on January 20.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Reject U.S. interest outright • 25%
Open negotiations with U.S. • 25%
Increase defense spending • 25%
Increased U.S. presence • 25%
Denmark increases own military presence • 25%
Reduced U.S. presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%