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Outcome of Azerbaijan's investigation into Aktau crash by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical Failure • 25%
External Attack • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
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Official investigation results released by Azerbaijani authorities
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Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev Confirms Plane Crash in Aktau Caused by Ground Fire and Electronic Warfare, 38 Fatalities Reported
Dec 29, 2024, 11:22 AM
Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev confirmed that the plane crash near Aktau, Kazakhstan, which resulted in 38 fatalities, was caused by ground fire. He stated that the aircraft, belonging to Azerbaijan Airlines, sustained external damage due to shelling while flying over Russian territory, near Grozny. Aliyev emphasized that the plane was rendered uncontrollable by electronic warfare, countering earlier claims that it had collided with a flock of birds. The Azerbaijani leader expressed disappointment over misinformation from certain Russian circles regarding the incident.
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Other cause • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
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Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
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Azerbaijani claims disproven • 25%
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Missile strike confirmed • 25%
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Negligence • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
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