Loading...
Market
Next significant terrorist attack in Russia linked to which group by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Vilayat Khorasan • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Al-Qaeda • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Russian security agencies or international intelligence reports
Story
FSB Thwarts Vilayat Khorasan Bomb Plot Using Propane Gas Cylinders Against Police Station in Moscow
Dec 27, 2024, 09:39 AM
The Federal Security Service (FSB) of Russia has thwarted a planned terrorist attack by an Islamist cell in Moscow. The group, identified as affiliated with the Vilayat Khorasan terrorist organization, was preparing to detonate a bomb at a police station using a car and propane gas cylinders. During the operation, the FSB engaged with the militants, who resisted arrest, resulting in their neutralization. The FSB released footage of the operation, which underscores ongoing security concerns related to Islamist extremism in the region. This incident follows previous threats linked to the same group, which has been involved in other terrorist activities in Russia.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
U.S. • 25%
No actor identified • 25%
U.K. • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
United States • 25%
Internal factions • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Recognizes multiple groups • 25%
Recognizes only the Taliban • 25%
Transportation hubs • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Industrial facilities • 25%
Residential buildings • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Jointly led • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Other • 25%
Kazan • 25%
Saint Petersburg • 25%
Other status • 25%
Remains listed • 25%
Delisted • 25%
Temporary suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
Smolensk • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Kursk • 25%