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What will be the state of military alliances or conflicts involving Syria, Israel, and Hezbollah by year-end?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syria-Hezbollah Alliance Strengthens • 33%
Increased Israel-Hezbollah Conflict • 33%
Status Quo Remains • 34%
Credible reports from international news agencies and official statements.
Story
Syrian Air Defenses Intercept 'Hostile Targets' Over Homs Amid Israeli Airstrike on Enemy Targets
May 29, 2024, 05:31 PM
Syrian air defenses have been activated to intercept 'hostile targets' over the western city of Homs, according to the state-run SANA news agency. Reports indicate that the air defenses were responding to an Israeli airstrike in the area. Syrian media reported that the air defenses were engaging 'enemy targets.' This incident marks another episode of heightened tensions between Syria and Israel. The airstrike is speculated to be targeting a cell possibly affiliated with Hezbollah due to Homs' proximity to Lebanon.
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Iran • 33%
Syria • 33%
No new alliances • 34%
New Iran-Syria-Hezbollah alliance • 33%
Iran-Russia alliance • 33%
No new alliances • 34%
Increased IDF operations in Syria • 25%
Increased IDF operations in Lebanon • 25%
Direct conflict with Iraq • 25%
No significant military engagements • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
De-escalation • 33%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military tension and engagements • 33%
Stable situation with no major change • 33%
De-escalation and peace negotiations • 34%
Direct Military Action • 25%
Increased Support for Syria • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation Only • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%