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Market
Nature of further escalation between Russia and Sweden by June 21, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic escalation • 33%
Economic escalation • 33%
Military escalation • 33%
Official reports or actions from both Russian and Swedish governments
Story
Sweden Accuses Russia of Satellite Interference and Airspace Violation After Joining NATO
Jun 21, 2024, 06:59 AM
Swedish authorities have accused Russia of engaging in 'harmful interference' with the country's satellite networks. This interference was first noted shortly after Sweden joined NATO earlier this year. The Swedish Prime Minister, Ulf Kristersson, reported that the interference targeted three different Sirius satellite networks and originated from Russia and Russia-occupied Crimea, Ukraine. This comes a few days after a Russian SU-24 bomber violated Swedish airspace. Sweden, in collaboration with its partners, is currently seeking a response to these actions.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military engagements • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Direct military confrontation • 25%
Increased sanctions and diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
No significant escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
De-escalation with peace talks • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other • 25%