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Most significant outcome of Turkey-Syria normalization by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Reopening of embassies • 25%
Bilateral trade agreements • 25%
Joint military operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Turkish or Syrian government, major news outlets
Story
Erdogan Open to Hosting Assad in Turkey 'At Any Moment' to Normalize Syria Relations
Jul 7, 2024, 11:20 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has expressed his willingness to invite Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to Turkey in an effort to normalize relations between the two countries. Erdogan's initiative comes as Turkey seeks to mend ties with Syria, which were severed following the 2011 war. Erdogan has indicated that the invitation could be extended at any moment, aiming to bring Turkey-Syria relations back to their previous state. Additionally, Erdogan discussed with Russian President Vladimir Putin the potential visit of Putin to Turkey, which could further open new chapters in Turkey-Syria relations. Erdogan noted that only militants oppose the possible normalization between Turkey and Syria.
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Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Signing of a trade agreement • 25%
Joint military cooperation announcement • 25%
Cultural exchange program initiation • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full normalization • 25%
Partial normalization • 25%
No change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%