Market
Will U.S. military actions lead to a significant change in Houthi-controlled territory by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international observers or credible news agencies
Story
Trump to Intensify Military Activity Against Iran-Backed Houthis with Gulf States Support Post-Inauguration on January 20, 2025
Jan 1, 2025, 07:12 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is preparing to increase military activity against the Houthis in Yemen following his inauguration on January 20, 2025. According to sources familiar with the details, Trump is expected to appeal to Gulf states to enhance the regional coalition against the Iran-backed militant group. This strategy aims to intensify operations against the Houthis, who have been a significant threat in the region. The Jerusalem Post reported on these developments, indicating that Trump's approach is already influencing the dynamics in the Middle East even before he takes office.
View original story
Similar markets
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Significant reduction in capabilities • 25%
No significant change in capabilities • 25%
Moderate reduction in capabilities • 25%
Increased capabilities • 25%
Decreased operations • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Intercepted attack • 25%
Successful attack on a military target • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Failed attack due to technical issues • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful attack on Israel • 25%
Interception by Israeli forces • 25%