Market
What will be the outcome of Houthi military operations in response to airstrikes by May 31, 2025?
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United States•United Kingdom•Houthi•Hodeidah•Yemen•Houthis•Gaza•Ben Gurion Airport•Jerusalem•USS Harry Truman•Red Sea•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased operations • 25%
Decreased operations • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and statements from the Houthi leadership
Story
U.S. and U.K. Strike Houthi Missile Sites and Depot in Yemen's At-Tuhayta District
Dec 30, 2024, 11:00 PM
The United States and the United Kingdom conducted two airstrikes targeting Houthi positions in the At-Tuhayta District, south of Hodeidah, Yemen. The strikes were aimed at Houthi missile launch sites and a weapons depot, according to various reports. In response, the Houthis launched three missiles toward the sea from the same region. The Houthis have escalated their operations, stating that their military actions will continue until the aggression against Gaza ceases. They also claimed to have successfully targeted Ben Gurion Airport and a power plant south of Jerusalem with ballistic missiles, and simultaneously conducted an operation against the USS Harry Truman aircraft carrier in the Red Sea, thwarting a planned large-scale American aerial attack on Yemen.
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Similar markets
No significant action • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Interception by Israeli forces • 25%
Successful attack on Israel • 25%
Intercepted attack • 25%
Successful attack on a military target • 25%
Failed attack due to technical issues • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Defensive posture • 25%
Negotiation overtures • 25%
Major success • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No military action • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
Ceasefire proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Further missile attacks • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
Significant disruption of Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%