Market
Will U.S. and Canada reach a new trade agreement by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from U.S. or Canadian trade departments
Story
Trump at Davos Suggests Canada Could Become 51st U.S. State, Citing No Need for Canadian Products
Jan 23, 2025, 04:46 PM
During his virtual address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump reiterated his stance on Canada, suggesting that the country could become a U.S. state as a means to eradicate the 'tremendous deficit' between the two nations. Trump emphasized that this move would eliminate the trade deficit, stating, 'If you're a state, we won't have a deficit, we won't have to tariff you.' He also mentioned that the U.S. does not need Canadian products such as lumber, oil, gas, and cars, asserting that the U.S. has sufficient resources of its own. Trump's comments, which prompted gasps in the Davos hall, were part of a broader message demanding respect from other nations and addressing the trade imbalance with Canada, suggesting that Canada could become the 51st state or face tariffs.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased Tariffs • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs reduced but no free trade • 25%
Free trade agreement reached • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Reduced Tariffs Agreement • 25%
No Tariffs Agreement • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
