Market
Will Trump's claim of winning youth vote by 36 points be corroborated by February 28, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results or credible polling data
Story
Trump Announces TikTok's Return as Part of 'Joint American Venture,' Credits Platform for Youth Vote Win
Jan 19, 2025, 10:37 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that TikTok has been reinstated in the United States as part of a "joint American venture." Speaking at a rally on the eve of his inauguration, Trump declared, "As of today, TikTok is back." He mentioned hiring "TikTok Jack" and said, "I went on TikTok. Can you believe what I'll do to win an election?" Trump credited the social media platform with assisting his campaign in winning over young voters, stating, "We won the youth vote by 36 points. So I like TikTok." However, the margin he cited has not been corroborated. Emphasizing the importance of the platform's return, he noted that Republicans have "never won the youth vote" before and added, "Frankly, we have no choice."
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50%-60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
40%-49% • 25%
Other Reason • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Social Media Strategy • 25%
Policy Proposals • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Decreased • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Other Factors • 25%
Economic Issues • 25%
Social Media Platforms • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%