Market
What percentage of the youth vote did Trump win in the 2024 election by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 30% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
41% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Official election results or credible polling data
Story
Trump Announces TikTok's Return as Part of 'Joint American Venture,' Credits Platform for Youth Vote Win
Jan 19, 2025, 10:37 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that TikTok has been reinstated in the United States as part of a "joint American venture." Speaking at a rally on the eve of his inauguration, Trump declared, "As of today, TikTok is back." He mentioned hiring "TikTok Jack" and said, "I went on TikTok. Can you believe what I'll do to win an election?" Trump credited the social media platform with assisting his campaign in winning over young voters, stating, "We won the youth vote by 36 points. So I like TikTok." However, the margin he cited has not been corroborated. Emphasizing the importance of the platform's return, he noted that Republicans have "never won the youth vote" before and added, "Frankly, we have no choice."
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Similar markets
Lead increases • 25%
Lead remains the same • 25%
Lead decreases • 25%
Other • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
50%-60% • 25%
40%-49% • 25%
Other Reason • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Social Media Strategy • 25%
Policy Proposals • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Largest in last 50 years • 25%
Smallest in last 50 years • 25%
Largest in last 20 years • 25%
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40% to 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30% to 39% • 25%
Top 5 for Republicans • 25%
Top 10 for Republicans • 25%
Below Top 20 for Republicans • 25%
Below Top 10 for Republicans • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
30% - 39% • 25%
40% - 50% • 25%