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What was the main factor credited for Trump's youth vote win by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok • 25%
Social media strategy • 25%
Policy positions • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Trump's campaign or major news outlets
Story
Trump Announces TikTok's Return as Part of 'Joint American Venture,' Credits Platform for Youth Vote Win
Jan 19, 2025, 10:37 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that TikTok has been reinstated in the United States as part of a "joint American venture." Speaking at a rally on the eve of his inauguration, Trump declared, "As of today, TikTok is back." He mentioned hiring "TikTok Jack" and said, "I went on TikTok. Can you believe what I'll do to win an election?" Trump credited the social media platform with assisting his campaign in winning over young voters, stating, "We won the youth vote by 36 points. So I like TikTok." However, the margin he cited has not been corroborated. Emphasizing the importance of the platform's return, he noted that Republicans have "never won the youth vote" before and added, "Frankly, we have no choice."
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Policy Proposals • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Other Reason • 25%
Social Media Strategy • 25%
Other Factors • 25%
Economic Issues • 25%
Social Media Platforms • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Instagram • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
40%-49% • 25%
50%-60% • 25%
Backlash against Democrats' legal actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign policy stance • 25%
Economic policies • 25%
Latino voters • 25%
Young male voters • 25%
White working-class voters • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Decreased • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Latino Voters • 25%
Asian Voters • 25%
Black Voters • 25%
White Voters • 25%