Market
What will major polls cite as most influential for youth turnout in 2024 election by April 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok • 25%
Social Media Platforms • 25%
Economic Issues • 25%
Other Factors • 25%
Reports from major polling organizations such as Gallup, Pew Research, or similar
Story
Trump Suggests Keeping TikTok Temporarily at Turning Point Conference in Phoenix Amid 36-Point Youth Vote Success
Dec 22, 2024, 05:50 PM
During a recent conference in Phoenix, Arizona, President Donald Trump suggested the possibility of temporarily allowing TikTok to remain operational in the United States. He indicated that this consideration is part of broader discussions regarding national security concerns. Trump emphasized his success with young voters, stating, "We won by 36 points with young people," and noted that his campaign achieved the highest share of youth votes for a Republican in history. He attributed part of this success to his son Barron, who he said has a good understanding of young people's interests. Trump remarked, "Maybe we gotta keep this sucker around," in reference to TikTok, highlighting its potential role in engaging younger demographics ahead of the 2024 election.
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Similar markets
Social media strategy • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy positions • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Foreign policy stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic policies • 25%
Backlash against Democrats' legal actions • 25%
Slightly higher than 2022 • 25%
Lower than 2022 • 25%
About the same as 2022 • 25%
Significantly higher than 2022 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wisconsin • 25%
Pennsylvania • 25%
Michigan • 25%
Other • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
40%-49% • 25%
50%-60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Less than 30% • 25%
41% to 50% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
Other • 25%
Economy • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%
Édouard Philippe • 25%
Gabriel Attal • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Majority believe it was rigged • 25%
Majority believe it was fair • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 33%
Republican Candidate • 33%
Other • 1%
Third Party Candidate • 33%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
Tied • 25%