Market
Will there be international intervention in the Golan Heights by June 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Golan Heights•Syrian•Middle East•Netanyahu•Israel•Assad regime•Hezbollah•Iran•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Mount Hermon•Israeli Defense
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the United Nations or major international powers
Story
Israel Seizes Mount Hermon as 1974 Agreement Collapses; Netanyahu Vows to Block Hostile Forces
Dec 8, 2024, 01:35 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israeli forces have seized control of a buffer zone in the Golan Heights near the Syrian border, following the withdrawal of Syrian troops amid unrest. Calling it a "historic day for the Middle East," Netanyahu declared that Israel will not allow any hostile force to establish itself along its borders and stated that the 1974 disengagement agreement has collapsed as Syrian soldiers abandoned their positions. He attributed the collapse of the Assad regime to Israel's forceful actions against Hezbollah and Iran. Reports from Saudi Al-Hadath indicate that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have taken over strategic locations, including the Syrian side of Mount Hermon. The Israeli Defense Minister announced the deployment of forces in the buffer zone to protect Israelis in the Golan Heights.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No major response • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US diplomatic intervention • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Israel withdraws unconditionally • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No withdrawal by end of 2025 • 25%
Israel withdraws with conditions • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Increased international sanctions • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Israel withdraws from buffer zone • 25%
No major response • 25%
US support • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
