Market
Will there be a change in PKK leadership or strategy by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Leadership change • 25%
Strategic shift • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Announcements from PKK or credible intelligence and news reports
Story
Turkey Neutralizes 11 PKK Terrorists in Zap Region Air Operation, Says National Defense Ministry
Dec 20, 2024, 08:34 AM
The Turkish National Defense Ministry announced that 11 members of the PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) were neutralized during an air operation in northern Iraq. The operation, which took place in the Zap region, was part of ongoing military efforts by the Turkish Armed Forces to combat terrorism. The ministry emphasized that operations will continue without interruption. This action follows a broader strategy by Turkey to target PKK militants in northern Iraq, where the group has been active.
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Similar markets
Leadership change due to Turkish pressure • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Other reasons for leadership change • 25%
Leadership change due to internal PKK dynamics • 25%
Leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Leadership structure reformed • 25%
Other changes • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership structure remains unchanged • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership consolidated • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
