Market
Outcome of North Korean Military Involvement in Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
2
Korean•Ukrainian•Russia•Kursk•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•North Korean•Moscow•Russian•Zelenskyy•North Korea•Asia•Ukrainian military
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
International news reports and official statements from involved countries
Story
Zelenskyy Confirms North Korean Troops Engage Ukrainian Forces in Kursk Region
Dec 14, 2024, 02:15 PM
North Korean soldiers have reportedly engaged Ukrainian troops in battle in Russia's Kursk region, marking a significant escalation in the conflict. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed the use of North Korean soldiers by Russia in assaults, stating in his speech that Moscow has involved another country in the war. According to Ukrainian intelligence, North Korean military units were put on high alert on December 13, with orders to coordinate with adjacent Russian forces in the Kursk region. Reports indicate that these troops are being integrated into mixed units and are already suffering significant losses. Zelenskyy accused Russia of widening the conflict by training North Korea in war, thus creating more problems in Asia. The Ukrainian military has reported that North Korean soldiers launched massive assaults, often running across open fields, making them easy targets for Ukrainian machine gunners. There are also claims that the first video evidence of these assaults has emerged, showing North Korean forces attacking Ukrainian positions.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No incident • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
Continued involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
North Korea withdraws troops • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Significant strategic advantage for Russia • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased tensions with other nations • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
High casualties with minimal gain • 25%
Withdrawal due to international pressure • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority captured • 25%