Market
Will the V-22 Osprey fleet grounding be lifted by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the Pentagon or NAVAIR regarding the lifting of the grounding
Story
Pentagon Grounds V-22 Osprey Fleet After Metal Failures Cause Engine Failure
Dec 9, 2024, 09:01 PM
The Pentagon has once again temporarily halted operations of its V-22 Osprey fleet following a near-crash incident in New Mexico in November, caused by weakened metals in a part inside one of the aircraft, leading to an engine failure. The incident prompted an operational pause by the U.S. Air Force, Navy, and Marines, as directed by NAVAIR. This latest setback for the Osprey aircraft, which has faced ongoing safety concerns, comes after an initial investigation pointed to metal failures as a contributing factor. The grounding affects the entire fleet, with the military branches adhering to the operational pause.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conduct further investigation • 25%
Retire some aircraft • 25%
Implement new safety measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase procurement • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Decrease procurement • 25%
Cancel future procurement • 25%
No • 25%
Yes, permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%
Yes, temporarily • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New maintenance protocols • 25%
No changes • 25%
More frequent inspections • 25%
Increased maintenance staff • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
Fleet grounding recommended • 25%
No major issues found • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintenance oversight • 25%