Market
Will the V-22 Osprey fleet be grounded again due to safety concerns by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the Pentagon or NAVAIR announcing another grounding
Story
Pentagon Grounds V-22 Osprey Fleet After Metal Failures Cause Engine Failure
Dec 9, 2024, 09:01 PM
The Pentagon has once again temporarily halted operations of its V-22 Osprey fleet following a near-crash incident in New Mexico in November, caused by weakened metals in a part inside one of the aircraft, leading to an engine failure. The incident prompted an operational pause by the U.S. Air Force, Navy, and Marines, as directed by NAVAIR. This latest setback for the Osprey aircraft, which has faced ongoing safety concerns, comes after an initial investigation pointed to metal failures as a contributing factor. The grounding affects the entire fleet, with the military branches adhering to the operational pause.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Decrease procurement • 25%
Cancel future procurement • 25%
Increase procurement • 25%
Conduct further investigation • 25%
Implement new safety measures • 25%
Retire some aircraft • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No • 25%
Yes, permanently • 25%
Yes, temporarily • 25%
Other action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintenance oversight • 25%
Both India and another country order • 25%
India orders more • 25%
Another country orders • 25%
No additional orders • 25%
Fleet grounding recommended • 25%
No major issues found • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
Model deemed unsafe • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
No issues found • 25%
