Market
Will a new maintenance protocol for the V-22 Osprey be implemented by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the Pentagon or NAVAIR about a new maintenance protocol
Story
Pentagon Grounds V-22 Osprey Fleet After Metal Failures Cause Engine Failure
Dec 9, 2024, 09:01 PM
The Pentagon has once again temporarily halted operations of its V-22 Osprey fleet following a near-crash incident in New Mexico in November, caused by weakened metals in a part inside one of the aircraft, leading to an engine failure. The incident prompted an operational pause by the U.S. Air Force, Navy, and Marines, as directed by NAVAIR. This latest setback for the Osprey aircraft, which has faced ongoing safety concerns, comes after an initial investigation pointed to metal failures as a contributing factor. The grounding affects the entire fleet, with the military branches adhering to the operational pause.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retire some aircraft • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Conduct further investigation • 25%
Implement new safety measures • 25%
Increase procurement • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Decrease procurement • 25%
Cancel future procurement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Maintenance oversight • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Yes, permanently • 25%
Yes, temporarily • 25%
Other action • 25%
No • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Another country orders • 25%
India orders more • 25%
Both India and another country order • 25%
No additional orders • 25%