Market
Will regulators approve Monte dei Paschi's acquisition of Mediobanca by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official regulatory body announcements, financial news outlets
Story
Monte dei Paschi Launches €13.3 Billion Bid for Mediobanca to Form Italy's Third-Largest Bank
Jan 24, 2025, 07:03 AM
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), a bailed-out lender and Italy's oldest bank, announced on Friday that it has launched a €13.3 billion ($13.9 billion) all-share public exchange takeover bid for larger rival Mediobanca SpA. The offer represents a 5.03% premium over Mediobanca's previous closing price. If successful, the acquisition would create Italy's third-largest banking group, reshaping the country's financial landscape in a seismic move. The deal is expected to be completed by the third quarter of 2025. The move has significant implications for Generali, as Mediobanca holds a major stake in the insurance giant. Following the announcement, Mediobanca's shares rose while MPS's shares fell.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Approved by all major stakeholders • 25%
No decision reached • 25%
Approved by some, rejected by others • 25%
Rejected by all major stakeholders • 25%
Rejected by regulators • 25%
Approved and completed • 25%
Approved but not completed • 25%
Withdrawn by Monte Paschi • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
