Market
Will the executive order reinstating service members be overturned or modified by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements or legal documents
Story
Trump to Reinstate Over 8,400 Troops Fired Over Vaccine Mandate, With Back Pay
Jan 27, 2025, 02:28 PM
President Donald Trump is set to sign an executive order today reinstating over 8,400 service members who were discharged under President Biden's COVID-19 vaccine mandates for refusing the vaccine. The executive order directs Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to reinstate all active and reserve members who were dismissed for vaccine refusal, restoring their previous ranks and providing full back pay and benefits. "Unjustly expelled service members will return," Trump stated. This decision fulfills a campaign promise and is being hailed as a victory for those who opposed the military's vaccine mandates.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
None reinstated • 25%
Some reinstated with partial back pay • 25%
Reinstated without back pay • 25%
All reinstated with full back pay • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Repealed • 33%
Modified • 33%
Unchanged • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
