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Will the anti-government offensive in northern Syria be resolved by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the United Nations, Syrian government, or credible international news outlets
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Iran Open to Sending Troops to Syria if Damascus Requests, Says Foreign Minister Araghchi
Dec 3, 2024, 04:56 PM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on December 3, 2024, that Tehran is prepared to consider deploying troops to Syria if the Syrian government in Damascus officially requests assistance. In an interview with the Qatari-owned news outlet Al Araby Al Jadeed, Araghchi emphasized that Iran does not command resistance groups in Arab countries nor has organizational ties with them, but supports them. He mentioned plans to visit Russia to discuss the situation in Syria and expressed readiness to help calm the situation and create an opportunity for a permanent solution. This announcement comes amid a resurgence of terrorist activity and a sweeping anti-government offensive in northern Syria.
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Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Increased control by YPG • 25%
Increased control by Turkey • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
SDF regains control • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
New ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major clashes • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with minor clashes • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
