Market
Will Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe resign by March 31, 2025?
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Secret Service•Ronald Rowe•House•Donald Trump•Butler Farm Show•Butler•Pennsylvania•Trump•Rowe•Pat Fallon•Fallon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the Secret Service or a credible news outlet
Story
Acting Secret Service Chief Admits 'Abject Failure' in Trump Assassination Attempt at Butler Rally
Dec 5, 2024, 04:32 PM
Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe testified before a bipartisan House task force investigating assassination attempts against President-elect Donald Trump, acknowledging the agency's "abject failure" during the July 13th rally at the Butler Farm Show site in Butler, Pennsylvania. At that event, a gunman shot at Mr. Trump, grazing his ear, and killed one rallygoer while injuring two others. Rowe stated that the Secret Service did not meet expectations in adequately securing the site and that failures by multiple employees warrant disciplinary action, adding, "There will be accountability." The task force, concluding its five-month investigation, held its final hearing where a heated exchange erupted between Rowe and Rep. Pat Fallon (R-TX) over security lapses and Rowe's attendance at a 9/11 memorial event. The shouting match escalated when Rowe accused Fallon of invoking 9/11 for political purposes.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Minor changes • 25%
Major reshuffle • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sean Curran • 33%
Other • 34%
Ronald Rowe • 33%
An external candidate • 25%
Sean Curran • 25%
Ronald Rowe • 25%
Another internal candidate • 25%
No leadership changes • 25%
Director replaced • 25%
Deputy leadership changes • 25%
Other changes • 25%