Market
What will be the outcome of the House task force investigation by February 28, 2025?
2
Secret Service•Ronald Rowe•House•Donald Trump•Butler Farm Show•Butler•Pennsylvania•Trump•Rowe•Pat Fallon•Fallon
Resolution / Starting Odds
No major findings • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
Calls for leadership changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official report or announcement from the House task force
Story
Acting Secret Service Chief Admits 'Abject Failure' in Trump Assassination Attempt at Butler Rally
Dec 5, 2024, 04:32 PM
Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rowe testified before a bipartisan House task force investigating assassination attempts against President-elect Donald Trump, acknowledging the agency's "abject failure" during the July 13th rally at the Butler Farm Show site in Butler, Pennsylvania. At that event, a gunman shot at Mr. Trump, grazing his ear, and killed one rallygoer while injuring two others. Rowe stated that the Secret Service did not meet expectations in adequately securing the site and that failures by multiple employees warrant disciplinary action, adding, "There will be accountability." The task force, concluding its five-month investigation, held its final hearing where a heated exchange erupted between Rowe and Rep. Pat Fallon (R-TX) over security lapses and Rowe's attendance at a 9/11 memorial event. The shouting match escalated when Rowe accused Fallon of invoking 9/11 for political purposes.
View original story
Similar markets
Major reforms recommended • 25%
Minor reforms recommended • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No reforms recommended • 25%
Formal investigation initiated • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Legal reforms proposed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other recommendations • 25%
Director Rowe is dismissed • 25%
Secret Service is restructured • 25%
No major changes implemented • 25%
Reprimand issued • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Security protocol failures • 25%
Other focuses • 25%
Political influences • 25%
Leadership accountability • 25%
Formal censure issued • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
Ethics violations but no legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Ethics violations leading to legal action • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Report Not Released • 25%
Partial Release • 25%
Decision Delayed • 25%
Report Released • 25%
Investigation launched but no charges • 25%
No investigation launched • 25%
Investigation launched • 25%
Investigation launched with charges • 25%
New leads on shooter's motive • 25%
Other findings • 25%
FBI and DoJ found obstructing • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%