Market
Will Russian central bank assets remain frozen by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the US government or international financial institutions
Story
Biden Approves $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Under G7's $50 Billion Initiative
Dec 11, 2024, 01:52 PM
The Biden administration has approved a $20 billion loan to Ukraine, which will be repaid using income generated from frozen Russian assets. The funds have been transferred to a World Bank financial intermediary fund as part of a broader $50 billion initiative by the G7 to support Ukraine's defense and recovery efforts. This move aims to make Russia bear the financial burden of its war in Ukraine. However, concerns have been raised over the potential reversal of the sanctions that keep Russian central bank assets frozen, as Donald Trump, who will soon take office, may attempt to cancel the loan.
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Similar markets
Other resolution • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
$200 billion to $300 billion • 25%
Less than $100 billion • 25%
More than $300 billion • 25%
$100 billion to $200 billion • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
Used for Ukraine aid • 25%
Transferred to escrow • 25%
Returned to Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 33%
Partial lifting • 34%
Sanctions remain • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
