Market
Outcome of EU decision on frozen Russian assets by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Transferred to escrow • 25%
Returned to Russia • 25%
Used for Ukraine aid • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official EU announcements or credible news reports
Story
Biden Administration Urges EU to Transfer $300 Billion in Frozen Russian Assets to Escrow Account, Trump Team Supports Strategy
Jan 14, 2025, 10:55 AM
The Biden administration is reportedly urging European Union countries to transfer approximately $300 billion in frozen Russian assets to a new escrow account. This account would only be accessible following a peace agreement with Russia. Trump's team has expressed support for this strategy, viewing the frozen assets as leverage against the Kremlin. The proposal has been characterized by EU officials, including Kallas, as a crucial initial step towards utilizing these assets in the context of a potential peace deal involving Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Confiscation partially approved • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Confiscation approved • 25%
Confiscation rejected • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
Sanctions extended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions extended • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
National courts of EU member states • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
European Court of Justice • 25%
