Market
Legal challenges on use of frozen Russian assets by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Legal proceedings or public announcements from relevant EU or international courts
Story
EU Disburses First €3 Billion Tranche to Ukraine from €45 Billion G7 Loan
Jan 10, 2025, 10:52 AM
The European Union has disbursed the first tranche of €3 billion to Ukraine as part of a €45 billion G7 loan package. This initial payment is funded by the earnings from frozen Russian assets. The total loan amount is set at $50 billion, with the EU's contribution amounting to €18.1 billion. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized that this financial support aims to provide Ukraine with the means to continue its fight for freedom. Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal confirmed the receipt of the funds, noting that they are crucial for Ukraine's resilience against Russian aggression.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
European Court of Justice • 25%
National courts of EU member states • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
Used for Ukraine aid • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Transferred to escrow • 25%
Returned to Russia • 25%
Return to Russia upon conditions • 25%
Use for Ukraine reconstruction • 25%
Other strategy • 25%
Invest in global security • 25%
Principal liquidation • 25%
Interest earnings only • 25%
Combination of both • 25%
Not utilized • 25%
Less than $100 billion • 25%
More than $300 billion • 25%
$200 billion to $300 billion • 25%
$100 billion to $200 billion • 25%
