Market
Will the U.S. face legal challenges over using frozen Russian assets for Ukraine's loan by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from U.S. courts or legal filings
Story
U.S. Provides $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine, Backed by Frozen Russian Assets
Dec 10, 2024, 06:21 PM
The U.S. has provided Ukraine with a $20 billion loan, which will be repaid using the profits generated from immobilized Russian central bank assets. This initiative, part of a broader $50 billion G7 Loans initiative, aims to offer critical support to Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict. The loan was announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasizing that the funds are derived from Russia's own frozen assets.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
European Court of Justice • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
National courts of EU member states • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Accepted and executed • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Accepted but delayed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other resolution • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
