Market
Will North Korea issue an official response about the alleged capture of its soldier by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from North Korean government or official media outlets
Story
Ukraine Claims First Capture of North Korean Soldier, Including Photo and Armored Personnel Carrier in Kursk Region
Dec 26, 2024, 09:18 PM
Ukrainian Armed Forces have claimed to capture a North Korean soldier in the Kursk region, marking what they assert is the first instance of such a capture. Reports indicate that the soldier was taken during a military operation aimed at enemy forces. Various sources have circulated a photo purportedly showing the captured soldier, although the authenticity of the image has been questioned. The operation reportedly yielded additional trophies, including an armored personnel carrier. While the claims have not been officially confirmed, they represent a notable development in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Confirmation of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
Admission and justification • 25%
No comment • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
No response • 25%
Demand for return • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Demand immediate return • 25%
Negotiate exchange • 25%
No official response • 25%
No official action • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks with North Korea • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
