Market
Will North Korea issue an official statement about the captured soldiers by April 30, 2025?
3
Volodymyr Zelensky•Ukrainian•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Kyiv•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Korean•English•Russian•Tactical Group 84•Special Operations Forces•Zelensky•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the North Korean government or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Captures Two Wounded North Korean Soldiers; Zelensky Opens Access to Journalists
Jan 11, 2025, 12:14 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian forces have captured two North Korean soldiers in Russia's Kursk region. The soldiers were wounded but survived and have been transported to Kyiv, where they are communicating with investigators from the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) through Korean translators, as they do not speak Ukrainian, English, or Russian. One soldier was captured on January 9 by Tactical Group 84 of the Special Operations Forces, and the other by Ukrainian paratroopers. Zelensky stated that this was a challenging task, as Russian and North Korean forces often prevent wounded soldiers from being captured to conceal their involvement. He has instructed the SBU to allow journalists access to the prisoners to reveal the participation of another state in the war against Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Admission of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Demand for return • 25%
No response • 25%
No comment • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
Admission and justification • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
No information released • 25%
No significant information • 25%
Confirmation of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Denial of North Korean military involvement • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Confession of combat role • 25%
Revelation of new intelligence • 25%
Denial of combat role • 25%
Confirmation of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No conclusive information obtained • 25%
Confirmed involuntary involvement • 25%
Confirmed voluntary involvement • 25%