Market
South Korea's primary action regarding captured North Korean soldier by Feb 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Seek diplomatic talks with North Korea • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
No official action • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or reports from major international news outlets
Story
Captured North Korean Soldier Fighting for Russia Dies from Injuries
Dec 27, 2024, 09:13 AM
Ukraine has captured a wounded North Korean soldier fighting for Russia in the ongoing conflict, marking the first known instance of a North Korean combatant being seized. South Korea's National Intelligence Service confirmed that Ukrainian forces detained the soldier alive in Russia's Kursk region. The soldier died from his injuries one day after being captured.
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Defects to Ukraine • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Held as prisoner of war • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmation of involvement • 25%
Accusation of misinformation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Demand for return • 25%
No response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Trial in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Deportation to North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Held indefinitely in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Repatriated to North Korea • 25%
Defected to South Korea • 25%
Remained in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Soldiers granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
Soldiers returned to North Korea • 25%