Market
Will new legislation affecting TPS holders from El Salvador and Venezuela be passed in 2025?
3
Biden•Temporary Protected Status•El Salvador•Venezuela•Salvadorans•Venezuelans•Department of Homeland Security
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the U.S. Congress or government publications.
Story
Biden Administration Extends TPS for 234,000 Salvadorans and 600,000 Venezuelans for 18 Months
Jan 10, 2025, 05:33 PM
The Biden administration has extended Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for approximately 800,000 individuals from El Salvador and Venezuela for an additional 18 months. Specifically, around 234,000 Salvadorans and 600,000 Venezuelans currently benefiting from TPS will be able to remain legally in the U.S. The extension comes in light of ongoing extraordinary conditions in both countries that prevent safe return for eligible nationals. The announcement was made by the Department of Homeland Security, with protections for Salvadorans set to expire on March 9, 2025, unless further action is taken. The decision aims to provide continued legal protection amid political and humanitarian crises affecting these populations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Revoked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Extended for 18 months • 25%
Extended for 6 months • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No new policy • 25%
Introduce new TPS criteria • 25%
Extend TPS for some • 25%
Revoke TPS for all • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Localized protests • 25%
Major nationwide protests • 25%
Other response • 25%