Market
What immigration policy will Trump propose for TPS holders in 2025?
2
Biden•Temporary Protected Status•Venezuelans•Salvadorans•Ukraine•Sudan•United States•Department of Homeland Security•Nicolás Maduro•Venezuela•El Salvador•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Revoke TPS for all • 25%
Extend TPS for some • 25%
Introduce new TPS criteria • 25%
No new policy • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or Department of Homeland Security
Story
Biden Extends TPS for 600,000 Venezuelans, 200,000 Salvadorans Before Trump Takes Office
Jan 10, 2025, 07:45 PM
In one of its final acts on immigration policy, the Biden administration has extended Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for approximately 600,000 Venezuelans, over 200,000 Salvadorans, as well as nationals from Ukraine and Sudan residing in the United States. The Department of Homeland Security announced the 18-month extension, which will allow Venezuelans to legally remain in the country until at least October 2026 and Salvadorans until September 9, 2026. The TPS extension comes amid ongoing political and humanitarian crises, including Nicolás Maduro's inauguration in Venezuela and environmental conditions in El Salvador that prevent individuals from safely returning. The move provides relief to nearly one million immigrants just days before President-elect Donald Trump takes office vowing mass deportations, putting these protections at risk under the incoming administration.
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Similar markets
Extended further • 25%
Revoked for all countries • 25%
Revoked for some countries • 25%
No changes • 25%
Further extension for both • 25%
No further extensions • 25%
Extension for Venezuelans only • 25%
Extension for Salvadorans only • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease restrictions • 25%
Increase restrictions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Minor changes enacted • 25%
Major changes enacted • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
Stricter policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Looser policies • 25%
Initiate immigration raids • 33%
Neither action • 1%
Both actions • 33%
Reinstate 'Remain in Mexico' policy • 33%
Initiate mass deportation • 25%
Empower local law enforcement • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Rescind Title 42 • 25%
New immigration policy introduced • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Mass deportation plan initiated • 25%
Remain-in-Mexico policy reinstated • 25%
Asylum-seekers • 25%
Border wall funding • 25%
Title 42 • 25%
Other • 25%
Modify DACA • 25%
Terminate DACA • 25%
Introduce new immigration policy • 25%
Maintain DACA • 25%
Majority oppose TPS • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority support TPS • 25%