Market
Reinstatement of TPS for Venezuelan Migrants by End of 2025?
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Trump•Temporary Protected Status•Venezuelan•United States•Homeland Security•Kristi Noem•Biden•Noem•Venezuelans
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Department of Homeland Security or White House press releases
Story
Trump Administration Revokes 18-Month TPS Extension for 600,000 Venezuelan Migrants
Jan 29, 2025, 03:30 PM
The Trump administration has revoked an 18-month extension of the Temporary Protected Status (TPS) program for more than 600,000 Venezuelan migrants in the United States, a decision announced by Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem. The extension, which was approved by the Biden administration in its final days, would have allowed these migrants to remain legally in the U.S. and obtain work permits until at least October 2026. Noem criticized the previous administration's move as an attempt to tie the hands of the Trump administration, stating that the decision to extend TPS was made too early. The revocation of this extension could lead to the deportation of these migrants in the coming months, as the Trump administration aims to evaluate all individuals currently in the country, including Venezuelans under TPS.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Extended for 18 months • 25%
Extended for 6 months • 25%
Revoked • 25%
Support from Republican leaders • 25%
Support from Democratic leaders • 25%
Bipartisan condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Major nationwide protests • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Localized protests • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Lobbying for legislative change • 25%
Protests and demonstrations • 25%