Market
Will Microsoft increase its investment in OpenAI by end of 2025 after AGI clause removal?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official press releases from Microsoft or OpenAI, or credible reports from financial news outlets
Story
OpenAI Seeks to Unlock Funding by Ditching AGI Clause with Microsoft
Dec 6, 2024, 12:21 PM
OpenAI is reportedly in discussions to remove a clause in its agreement with Microsoft that limits Microsoft's access to OpenAI's most advanced AI models upon achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This move is aimed at unlocking further investment from Microsoft, according to the Financial Times. The clause in question would allow OpenAI's board to determine when AGI is achieved, potentially restricting Microsoft's access to these models. The removal of this 'AGI clause' could facilitate a more open partnership, enabling Microsoft to leverage OpenAI's cutting-edge AI technology for its own products and services.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investment decreases • 25%
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Equity investment • 25%
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Microsoft divests completely • 25%
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Clause modified • 25%
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No decision announced • 25%
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No significant change • 25%