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Will mass protests in Seoul continue one week after December 7, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets covering the protests in Seoul
Story
South Korea's Yoon Apologizes Ahead of Impeachment Vote Over Martial Law
Dec 7, 2024, 01:22 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law on Tuesday, sending heavily armed soldiers into the streets of Seoul. The decision, which reminded many of the country's past military dictatorships, was revoked hours later following an emergency parliamentary session. Yoon replaced Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun after parliament overturned the martial law move. The opposition has initiated impeachment proceedings against him, with a parliamentary vote scheduled for Saturday. On Saturday morning, Yoon delivered a televised address in which he bowed and apologized for causing public anxiety, pledging not to impose martial law again. Despite the apology, he did not resign and faces mass street protests in Seoul.
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Protests escalate into larger political movement • 25%
Protests subside without major changes • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mass Protests Occur • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
No Significant Protests • 25%
Minor Protests Occur • 25%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests End • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
Protests Intensify • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
