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Will diplomatic tensions between Colombia and U.S. increase over deportation policies by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets or official statements from either government
Story
Colombian President Petro Deploys Presidential Plane for Dignified Return of Deportees from U.S. on Sunday Morning
Jan 26, 2025, 07:23 PM
Colombian President Gustavo Petro has announced the deployment of the presidential plane to facilitate the dignified return of Colombian nationals deported from the United States on Sunday morning. This decision comes after Petro rejected the arrival of U.S. military planes carrying deportees, citing the need for a respectful and dignified treatment of migrants. The move follows tensions between Colombia and the U.S., particularly after President Donald Trump's administration initiated a campaign to deport undocumented migrants, which has sparked controversy and led to diplomatic friction with several countries, including Colombia.
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Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Agreement terminated • 25%
Agreement honored without issues • 25%
Minor disputes resolved • 25%
Major disputes lead to sanctions • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes more lenient • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Visa revocations • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Civilian flights only • 25%
Protocol established • 25%
Military flights accepted • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Protocol with Colombia • 25%
Decreased deportations • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Use of civilian flights • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Colombia accepts deportation flights • 25%
U.S. lifts visa suspension without compliance • 25%
Colombia maintains agreement, no tariffs imposed • 25%
Colombia retracts agreement, no tariffs imposed • 25%
Colombia retracts agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Colombia maintains agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Continued rejection of flights • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Legal actions against US • 25%