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Will a new multinational force be established in the buffer zone by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the United Nations or official statements from involved countries
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Netanyahu Tells Sullivan Israel to Control Buffer Zone with Syria Temporarily Under 1974 Agreement on December 12, 2024
Dec 12, 2024, 03:03 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan in Jerusalem on December 12, 2024, to discuss Israel's security measures in the buffer zone with Syria. During the meeting, Netanyahu emphasized that Israel will maintain control over the area until a force is established that complies with the 1974 agreement aimed at ensuring security along the borders. He stated that Israel would take any necessary actions to protect its security against threats from Syria, particularly in light of recent developments following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. Sullivan acknowledged Israel's actions as efforts to identify and neutralize threats, and confirmed ongoing consultations with both Israel and Turkey regarding the situation in Syria. He expressed expectations that Israel's presence in the buffer zone would be temporary.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%
United States • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Israeli Defense Forces • 25%
Syrian Opposition Groups • 25%
UN Forces • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully demilitarized • 25%
Partially occupied by Israel • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
