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How will the buffer zone control issue be resolved by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Reports from the United Nations or negotiations' official statements
Story
Netanyahu Tells Sullivan Israel to Control Buffer Zone with Syria Temporarily Under 1974 Agreement on December 12, 2024
Dec 12, 2024, 03:03 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan in Jerusalem on December 12, 2024, to discuss Israel's security measures in the buffer zone with Syria. During the meeting, Netanyahu emphasized that Israel will maintain control over the area until a force is established that complies with the 1974 agreement aimed at ensuring security along the borders. He stated that Israel would take any necessary actions to protect its security against threats from Syria, particularly in light of recent developments following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. Sullivan acknowledged Israel's actions as efforts to identify and neutralize threats, and confirmed ongoing consultations with both Israel and Turkey regarding the situation in Syria. He expressed expectations that Israel's presence in the buffer zone would be temporary.
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Expanded by Israel • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Maintained as is • 25%
Reduced by international pressure • 25%
UN control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains under Israeli control • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Fully demilitarized • 25%
Other • 25%
Under UN control • 25%
Partially occupied by Israel • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
UN Forces • 25%
Israeli Defense Forces • 25%
Syrian Opposition Groups • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Return to 1974 agreement terms • 25%
Israel retains control • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Returned to Syrian control • 25%
Maintained by Israel • 25%
Controlled by international peacekeepers • 25%
Contested by multiple factions • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supportive stance • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
Partially established • 25%
Not established • 25%
Dismantled or removed • 25%
Fully established and operational • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%