Market
Which rank will be implicated in Brazilian military coup discussions by mid-2025?
2
Valério Stumpf Trindade•Brazil•Alexandre de Moraes•Polícia Federal•Trindade•Brazilian•Jair Bolsonaro
Resolution / Starting Odds
High-ranking officer • 25%
Mid-ranking officer • 25%
Low-ranking officer • 25%
No new implications • 25%
Reports from the Polícia Federal or Brazilian media outlets
Story
General Valério Stumpf Trindade Identified as Informant for Moraes Amid Polícia Federal Coup Investigations Linked to Jair Bolsonaro
Dec 1, 2024, 01:19 PM
General Valério Stumpf Trindade, a former military commander in southern Brazil, has been identified as an informant for Justice Minister Alexandre de Moraes. This revelation comes from messages obtained by the Polícia Federal, indicating that radical military personnel discussed a coup and referred to Trindade as a 'cagueta' or informant. Despite not being indicted in the coup investigation, Trindade reportedly fears becoming a target of the Polícia Federal. The situation highlights ongoing tensions within Brazilian military circles and the scrutiny of individuals associated with former President Jair Bolsonaro.
View original story
Similar markets
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Acknowledgement of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Tensions persist • 25%
Tensions resolved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Political allies • 25%
Military personnel • 25%
Foreign entities • 25%
Other • 25%
Retired or resigned • 25%
Retained in current position • 25%
Demoted or reassigned • 25%
Promoted • 25%
Business leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Political figure • 25%
High-ranking military official • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Jair Bolsonaro • 25%
Sandro Nunes Vieira • 25%
Marcelo Câmara • 25%
Valdemar Costa Neto • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military restructuring • 25%
Judicial reforms • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Investigation Closed • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
No Action • 25%
Further Arrests • 25%
