Market
Will new security measures be announced in Brazilian military due to coup investigation by mid-2025?
2
Valério Stumpf Trindade•Brazil•Alexandre de Moraes•Polícia Federal•Trindade•Brazilian•Jair Bolsonaro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Brazilian Ministry of Defense or military leadership
Story
General Valério Stumpf Trindade Identified as Informant for Moraes Amid Polícia Federal Coup Investigations Linked to Jair Bolsonaro
Dec 1, 2024, 01:19 PM
General Valério Stumpf Trindade, a former military commander in southern Brazil, has been identified as an informant for Justice Minister Alexandre de Moraes. This revelation comes from messages obtained by the Polícia Federal, indicating that radical military personnel discussed a coup and referred to Trindade as a 'cagueta' or informant. Despite not being indicted in the coup investigation, Trindade reportedly fears becoming a target of the Polícia Federal. The situation highlights ongoing tensions within Brazilian military circles and the scrutiny of individuals associated with former President Jair Bolsonaro.
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No official stance • 25%
Acknowledgement of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Military restructuring • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Judicial reforms • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Investigation Closed • 25%
Further Arrests • 25%
No Action • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions persist • 25%
Tensions resolved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Cleared of charges • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New independent security measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Decreased reliance on military • 25%
Increased cooperation with military • 25%