Market
Which global health initiative will be most affected by U.S. withdrawal from WHO by December 31, 2025?
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Donald Trump•United States•World Health Organization•WHO•Financial Times•Trump•China•Joe Biden•Lawrence Gostin•Ashish Jha•Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pandemic response • 25%
Vaccination programs • 25%
Health research • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from the WHO or global health organizations
Story
Trump's Team Plans U.S. WHO Withdrawal on January 20, Impacting 16% of Budget
Dec 22, 2024, 10:15 AM
Donald Trump's transition team is reportedly planning to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO) on the first day of his new administration, January 20, according to the Financial Times. The move would remove the WHO's largest source of funding, which could impair its ability to respond to global health crises like the coronavirus pandemic. Trump had previously initiated a withdrawal from the WHO in 2020, accusing it of being under China's control, but the process was halted by President Joe Biden upon his inauguration in 2021. The U.S. contributes about 16% of the WHO's budget, and experts like Lawrence Gostin and Ashish Jha warn that a withdrawal could leave a significant gap in global health financing and leadership. Some within Trump's team are said to want to act quickly to symbolically reverse Biden's decision to rejoin the WHO on his first day in office.
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Other • 25%
Emergency Response • 25%
Disease Surveillance • 25%
Vaccination Programs • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
No new initiatives • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
New health programs • 25%
New funding partnerships • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reduced Global Health Funding • 25%
Weakened Pandemic Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Influence of Other Nations • 25%
Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Minimal impact, operations continue smoothly • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Severe impact on global health initiatives • 25%
Moderate impact with some initiatives affected • 25%
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • 25%
GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance • 25%
The Global Fund • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Publicly criticize the U.S. decision • 25%
Adjust funding strategies • 25%
Increase outreach to other countries • 25%
Seek new partnerships • 25%
Initiate dialogue with US • 25%
Implement policy changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased Funding from Other Nations • 25%
New Pandemic Response Framework • 25%
Formation of New Health Alliance • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
U.S. fully withdraws • 25%
U.S. reverses decision • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. negotiates new terms with WHO • 25%