Market
Global Health Initiative Most Affected by U.S. Withdrawal from WHO by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Vaccination Programs • 25%
Disease Surveillance • 25%
Emergency Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from WHO and major health organizations
Story
Trump Withdraws U.S. from WHO, Cutting $200 Million Annual Funding
Jan 21, 2025, 01:25 AM
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order withdrawing the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO). Before signing, Trump asked, "What is this one? Withdrawing from the World Health Organization," and then remarked, "Ooh, that's a big one." The United States is the WHO's largest individual contributor, providing around 16% of its annual budget, over $200 million. The decision has prompted varied reactions regarding its potential impact on global health initiatives.
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Other • 25%
Pandemic response • 25%
Vaccination programs • 25%
Health research • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Severe impact on global health initiatives • 25%
Moderate impact with some initiatives affected • 25%
Minimal impact, operations continue smoothly • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Influence of Other Nations • 25%
Weakened Pandemic Response • 25%
Reduced Global Health Funding • 25%
Other • 25%
The Global Fund • 25%
GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance • 25%
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation • 25%
Significant decrease in funding • 25%
Increase in funding • 25%
No change in funding • 25%
Moderate decrease in funding • 25%
U.S. fully withdraws • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. negotiates new terms with WHO • 25%
U.S. reverses decision • 25%
No noticeable disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Completion of withdrawal • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Strengthening Global Health Policies • 25%
Increasing Funding from Other Nations • 25%
Enhancing Pandemic Response • 25%
Forging New Alliances • 25%