Which entity will have primary geopolitical influence in the Arctic by end of 2025?
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Analyses from geopolitical think tanks or credible international news outlets
Trump Cites Monroe Doctrine in Renewed Push for Greenland Amid Arctic Geopolitical Tensions
Jan 20, 2025, 01:14 PM
Donald Trump, the incoming U.S. president, has reignited his controversial interest in acquiring Greenland, a territory under Denmark's control. Trump has described the acquisition as essential for U.S. national security and the protection of the free world, citing the Monroe Doctrine to justify his stance. Greenland, the world's largest island, is geopolitically significant due to its location in the Arctic and its vast natural resources, including oil, gas, and rare earth minerals. The melting ice caused by climate change has made these resources more accessible and opened new commercial and military navigation routes. Denmark and Greenland have firmly rejected the idea, with Greenland's Prime Minister Múte Egede emphasizing the island's autonomy and stating, 'We are not for sale.' Trump's renewed push for Greenland has drawn criticism from European leaders, with parallels being drawn to Russia's annexation of Ukrainian territories. The Danish government has expressed concerns about the potential for a diplomatic crisis, while Greenland's residents remain skeptical of U.S. intentions. The proposal also raises environmental concerns, as the exploitation of Greenland's resources could exacerbate climate change. Additionally, China's and Russia's influence in the Arctic, as well as the longstanding presence of a U.S. military base in Greenland, have added layers of complexity to the issue. Trump's broader expansionist rhetoric includes aspirations to reassert U.S. control over the Panama Canal and annex Canada, further fueling international tensions.
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Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Canada • 25%
Denmark • 25%
United States • 25%
Denmark • 25%
United States • 25%
Joint U.S.-Denmark • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
No significant increase • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Denmark • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Denmark vs US • 25%
Denmark vs China • 25%
Denmark vs Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Alliance formation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Mineral resources • 25%
Influence over Russia/China • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other or None • 25%
Increased U.S. influence • 25%
New Arctic governance framework • 25%
Increased Chinese influence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
UN resolution against U.S. • 25%
Other international response • 25%
No major response • 25%
EU sanctions on U.S. • 25%