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Where will any direct Iran-U.S. talks take place by the end of 2025?
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Iran•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•United States•Donald Trump•Khamenei•Iranian•Islamic Republic•Pezeshkian•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tehran • 25%
Washington, D.C. • 25%
Neutral country • 25%
No direct talks • 25%
News reports or official statements from either the Iranian or U.S. government
Story
Iran's Khamenei Signals Cautious Openness to Negotiations with Trump, Green Lights Pezeshkian
Jan 28, 2025, 11:32 AM
Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has indicated a cautious openness to negotiations with the United States, particularly with the administration of President Donald Trump. In a speech on Tuesday, January 28, 2025, Khamenei emphasized the need for vigilance in diplomatic dealings, stating that 'behind diplomatic smiles, there lies hidden enmities and grudges.' He urged Iranian officials to 'open their eyes and remain vigilant about whom they are dealing with, negotiating with, and talking to.' This statement suggests a nuanced approach to potential negotiations, acknowledging the possibility of dialogue while highlighting underlying distrust. Khamenei's comments were made during a meeting with officials from the Islamic Republic, signaling a strategic consideration of engagement with the U.S. amidst ongoing tensions. Additionally, Khamenei has given a green light to President Pezeshkian for negotiations and a potential deal with Trump.
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Successful agreement • 25%
Talks initiated but stalled • 25%
Talks held but no agreement • 25%
No talks held • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Talks continue without agreement • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
