Market
When will Ross Ulbricht be released from prison?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
January 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
April 2025 or later • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Justice or Bureau of Prisons
Story
Elon Musk Confirms Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht to Be Freed by Presidential Pardon
Jan 21, 2025, 02:15 AM
Elon Musk has confirmed that Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road, will be freed through a presidential pardon. This statement follows President Donald Trump's promise to commute Ulbricht's sentence on his first day in office, which was reiterated on the day of his inauguration.
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January 22, 2025 • 25%
After January 23, 2025 • 25%
January 23, 2025 • 25%
January 21, 2025 • 25%
Pardon granted • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mainly negative • 25%
Mainly positive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
None • 25%
Tech Conference • 25%
Libertarian Event • 25%
University Lecture • 25%