Market
Will Ross Ulbricht be released from prison by January 23, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Bureau of Prisons records or credible news outlets
Story
Trump to Pardon Ross Ulbricht Tonight or Tomorrow, Elon Musk Says 'Ross Will Be Freed Too'
Jan 21, 2025, 02:20 AM
President Donald Trump is expected to pardon Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road online marketplace, fulfilling a previous campaign promise. Elon Musk confirmed the development, stating, 'Ross will be freed too.' Reports indicate that Ulbricht could be released either tonight or tomorrow. Trump has signed pardons and executive actions, and sources within the White House suggest that Ulbricht's pardon is imminent.
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Similar markets
Pardon granted • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
April 2025 or later • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
