Market
What will be the outcome of legal challenges to Ross Ulbricht's pardon by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
No challenges • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Ongoing challenges • 25%
Successful challenges • 25%
Court filings or legal news reports
Story
Elon Musk Confirms Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht to Be Freed by Presidential Pardon
Jan 21, 2025, 02:15 AM
Elon Musk has confirmed that Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road, will be freed through a presidential pardon. This statement follows President Donald Trump's promise to commute Ulbricht's sentence on his first day in office, which was reiterated on the day of his inauguration.
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Similar markets
New Legislation Proposed • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Legal Challenges to Pardon • 25%
Increased Advocacy for Reform • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Pardon granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New legal precedents • 25%
Increase in appeals • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Divided • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardon upheld • 25%
Pardon overturned • 25%
Neutral/Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
No Decision Made • 34%
Clemency Granted • 33%
Clemency Denied • 33%