Market
On which date will Ross Ulbricht be released from prison?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
January 21, 2025 • 25%
January 22, 2025 • 25%
January 23, 2025 • 25%
After January 23, 2025 • 25%
Bureau of Prisons records or credible news outlets
Story
Trump to Pardon Ross Ulbricht Tonight or Tomorrow, Elon Musk Says 'Ross Will Be Freed Too'
Jan 21, 2025, 02:20 AM
President Donald Trump is expected to pardon Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road online marketplace, fulfilling a previous campaign promise. Elon Musk confirmed the development, stating, 'Ross will be freed too.' Reports indicate that Ulbricht could be released either tonight or tomorrow. Trump has signed pardons and executive actions, and sources within the White House suggest that Ulbricht's pardon is imminent.
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Similar markets
April 2025 or later • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Pardon granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mainly positive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mainly negative • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Focus on his past crimes • 25%
Mixed focus • 25%
Focus on the impact on Bitcoin • 25%
Focus on his future plans • 25%