Market
Trump's approach to Ukraine conflict by January 20, 2026
3
Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•US•Donald Trump•Russia•Zelensky•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Russian Federation
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official policy announcements and actions taken by the Trump administration
Story
Zelensky: Trump Could Be Decisive in Ending War, Stopping Putin
Jan 3, 2025, 08:29 AM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, in an interview aired on Thursday, expressed hope that US President-elect Donald Trump's unpredictability could help end the nearly three-year war with Russia. Zelensky said that Trump could be 'decisive' in the outcome of the conflict and could help stop Russian President Vladimir Putin. He described Trump as 'strong and unpredictable' and stated, 'I would very much like President Trump's unpredictability to be directed primarily toward the Russian Federation.' Trump, who will be inaugurated on January 20, has previously claimed he would end the war 'in 24 hours.'
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Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
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Mixed approach • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Increased diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid reduction to Ukraine • 25%
Other strategies • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Other diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Reduction of military support to Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
Other • 25%
End war in Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No ceasefire, talks ongoing • 25%